Projected warming disrupts the synchrony of riparian seed release and snowmelt streamflow.
Identifieur interne : 000175 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000174; suivant : 000176Projected warming disrupts the synchrony of riparian seed release and snowmelt streamflow.
Auteurs : Laura G. Perry [États-Unis] ; Patrick B. Shafroth [États-Unis] ; Lauren E. Hay [États-Unis] ; Steven L. Markstrom [États-Unis] ; Andrew R. Bock [États-Unis]Source :
- The New phytologist [ 1469-8137 ] ; 2020.
Abstract
Globally, spring phenology and abiotic processes are shifting earlier with warming. Differences in the magnitudes of these shifts may decouple the timing of plant resource requirements from resource availability. In riparian forests across the northern hemisphere, warming could decouple seed release from snowmelt peak streamflow, thus reducing moisture and safe sites for dominant tree recruitment. We combined field observations with climate, hydrology, and phenology models to simulate future change in synchrony of seed release and snowmelt peaks in the South Platte River Basin, Colorado, for three Salicaceae species that dominate western USA riparian forests. Chilling requirements for overcoming winter endodormancy were strongest in Salix exigua, moderately supported for Populus deltoides, and indiscernible in Salix amygdaloides. Ensemble mean projected warming of 3.5°C shifted snowmelt peaks 10-19 d earlier relative to S. exigua and P. deltoides seed release, because decreased winter chilling combined with increased spring forcing limited change in their phenology. By contrast, warming shifted both snowmelt peaks and S. amygdaloides seed release 21 d earlier, maintaining their synchrony. Decoupling of snowmelt from seed release for Salicaceae with strong chilling requirements is likely to reduce resources critical for recruitment of these foundational riparian forests, although the magnitude of future decoupling remains uncertain.
DOI: 10.1111/nph.16191
PubMed: 31514239
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Perry</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, 80523, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>Department of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, 80523</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>80523</wicri:noRegion></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>in cooperation with, US Geological Survey Fort Collins Science Center, Fort Collins, CO, 80526, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>in cooperation with, US Geological Survey Fort Collins Science Center, Fort Collins, CO, 80526</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>80526</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Shafroth, Patrick B" sort="Shafroth, Patrick B" uniqKey="Shafroth P" first="Patrick B" last="Shafroth">Patrick B. Shafroth</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>in cooperation with, US Geological Survey Fort Collins Science Center, Fort Collins, CO, 80526, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>in cooperation with, US Geological Survey Fort Collins Science Center, Fort Collins, CO, 80526</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>80526</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Hay, Lauren E" sort="Hay, Lauren E" uniqKey="Hay L" first="Lauren E" last="Hay">Lauren E. Hay</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>US Geological Survey Water Mission Area, Denver Federal Center, Lakewood, CO, 80225, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>US Geological Survey Water Mission Area, Denver Federal Center, Lakewood, CO, 80225</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>80225</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Markstrom, Steven L" sort="Markstrom, Steven L" uniqKey="Markstrom S" first="Steven L" last="Markstrom">Steven L. Markstrom</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>US Geological Survey Water Mission Area, Denver Federal Center, Lakewood, CO, 80225, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>US Geological Survey Water Mission Area, Denver Federal Center, Lakewood, CO, 80225</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>80225</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Bock, Andrew R" sort="Bock, Andrew R" uniqKey="Bock A" first="Andrew R" last="Bock">Andrew R. Bock</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>US Geological Survey Colorado Water Science Center, Denver Federal Center, Lakewood, CO, 80225, USA.</nlm:affiliation><country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country><wicri:regionArea>US Geological Survey Colorado Water Science Center, Denver Federal Center, Lakewood, CO, 80225</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>80225</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">The New phytologist</title><idno type="eISSN">1469-8137</idno><imprint><date when="2020" type="published">2020</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">Globally, spring phenology and abiotic processes are shifting earlier with warming. Differences in the magnitudes of these shifts may decouple the timing of plant resource requirements from resource availability. In riparian forests across the northern hemisphere, warming could decouple seed release from snowmelt peak streamflow, thus reducing moisture and safe sites for dominant tree recruitment. We combined field observations with climate, hydrology, and phenology models to simulate future change in synchrony of seed release and snowmelt peaks in the South Platte River Basin, Colorado, for three Salicaceae species that dominate western USA riparian forests. Chilling requirements for overcoming winter endodormancy were strongest in Salix exigua, moderately supported for Populus deltoides, and indiscernible in Salix amygdaloides. Ensemble mean projected warming of 3.5°C shifted snowmelt peaks 10-19 d earlier relative to S. exigua and P. deltoides seed release, because decreased winter chilling combined with increased spring forcing limited change in their phenology. By contrast, warming shifted both snowmelt peaks and S. amygdaloides seed release 21 d earlier, maintaining their synchrony. Decoupling of snowmelt from seed release for Salicaceae with strong chilling requirements is likely to reduce resources critical for recruitment of these foundational riparian forests, although the magnitude of future decoupling remains uncertain.</div></front></TEI><pubmed><MedlineCitation Status="In-Process" Owner="NLM"><PMID Version="1">31514239</PMID><DateRevised><Year>2020</Year><Month>09</Month><Day>30</Day></DateRevised><Article PubModel="Print-Electronic"><Journal><ISSN IssnType="Electronic">1469-8137</ISSN><JournalIssue CitedMedium="Internet"><Volume>225</Volume><Issue>2</Issue><PubDate><Year>2020</Year><Month>01</Month></PubDate></JournalIssue><Title>The New phytologist</Title><ISOAbbreviation>New Phytol</ISOAbbreviation></Journal><ArticleTitle>Projected warming disrupts the synchrony of riparian seed release and snowmelt streamflow.</ArticleTitle><Pagination><MedlinePgn>693-712</MedlinePgn></Pagination><ELocationID EIdType="doi" ValidYN="Y">10.1111/nph.16191</ELocationID><Abstract><AbstractText>Globally, spring phenology and abiotic processes are shifting earlier with warming. Differences in the magnitudes of these shifts may decouple the timing of plant resource requirements from resource availability. In riparian forests across the northern hemisphere, warming could decouple seed release from snowmelt peak streamflow, thus reducing moisture and safe sites for dominant tree recruitment. We combined field observations with climate, hydrology, and phenology models to simulate future change in synchrony of seed release and snowmelt peaks in the South Platte River Basin, Colorado, for three Salicaceae species that dominate western USA riparian forests. Chilling requirements for overcoming winter endodormancy were strongest in Salix exigua, moderately supported for Populus deltoides, and indiscernible in Salix amygdaloides. Ensemble mean projected warming of 3.5°C shifted snowmelt peaks 10-19 d earlier relative to S. exigua and P. deltoides seed release, because decreased winter chilling combined with increased spring forcing limited change in their phenology. By contrast, warming shifted both snowmelt peaks and S. amygdaloides seed release 21 d earlier, maintaining their synchrony. Decoupling of snowmelt from seed release for Salicaceae with strong chilling requirements is likely to reduce resources critical for recruitment of these foundational riparian forests, although the magnitude of future decoupling remains uncertain.</AbstractText><CopyrightInformation>No claim to US Government works New Phytologist © 2019 New Phytologist Trust.</CopyrightInformation></Abstract><AuthorList CompleteYN="Y"><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Perry</LastName><ForeName>Laura G</ForeName><Initials>LG</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0003-2796-868X</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>Department of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, 80523, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>in cooperation with, US Geological Survey Fort Collins Science Center, Fort Collins, CO, 80526, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Shafroth</LastName><ForeName>Patrick B</ForeName><Initials>PB</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0002-6064-871X</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>in cooperation with, US Geological Survey Fort Collins Science Center, Fort Collins, CO, 80526, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Hay</LastName><ForeName>Lauren E</ForeName><Initials>LE</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0003-3763-4595</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>US Geological Survey Water Mission Area, Denver Federal Center, Lakewood, CO, 80225, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Markstrom</LastName><ForeName>Steven L</ForeName><Initials>SL</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0001-7630-9547</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>US Geological Survey Water Mission Area, Denver Federal Center, Lakewood, CO, 80225, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author><Author ValidYN="Y"><LastName>Bock</LastName><ForeName>Andrew R</ForeName><Initials>AR</Initials><Identifier Source="ORCID">0000-0001-7222-6613</Identifier><AffiliationInfo><Affiliation>US Geological Survey Colorado Water Science Center, Denver Federal Center, Lakewood, CO, 80225, USA.</Affiliation></AffiliationInfo></Author></AuthorList><Language>eng</Language><PublicationTypeList><PublicationType UI="D016428">Journal Article</PublicationType><PublicationType UI="D013485">Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't</PublicationType></PublicationTypeList><ArticleDate DateType="Electronic"><Year>2019</Year><Month>10</Month><Day>25</Day></ArticleDate></Article><MedlineJournalInfo><Country>England</Country><MedlineTA>New Phytol</MedlineTA><NlmUniqueID>9882884</NlmUniqueID><ISSNLinking>0028-646X</ISSNLinking></MedlineJournalInfo><CitationSubset>IM</CitationSubset><KeywordList Owner="NOTNLM"><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">chilling requirements</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">cottonwood</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">future climate projections</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">phenological decoupling</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">riparian forest ecology</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">seed release phenology</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">streamflow timing</Keyword><Keyword MajorTopicYN="Y">willow</Keyword></KeywordList></MedlineCitation><PubmedData><History><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="received"><Year>2019</Year><Month>05</Month><Day>21</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="accepted"><Year>2019</Year><Month>08</Month><Day>28</Day></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="pubmed"><Year>2019</Year><Month>9</Month><Day>13</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="medline"><Year>2019</Year><Month>9</Month><Day>13</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate><PubMedPubDate PubStatus="entrez"><Year>2019</Year><Month>9</Month><Day>13</Day><Hour>6</Hour><Minute>0</Minute></PubMedPubDate></History><PublicationStatus>ppublish</PublicationStatus><ArticleIdList><ArticleId IdType="pubmed">31514239</ArticleId><ArticleId IdType="doi">10.1111/nph.16191</ArticleId></ArticleIdList><ReferenceList><Title>References</Title><Reference><Citation>Acharya A, Piechota TC, Tootle G. 2012. 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Markstrom</name><name sortKey="Perry, Laura G" sort="Perry, Laura G" uniqKey="Perry L" first="Laura G" last="Perry">Laura G. Perry</name><name sortKey="Shafroth, Patrick B" sort="Shafroth, Patrick B" uniqKey="Shafroth P" first="Patrick B" last="Shafroth">Patrick B. Shafroth</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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